Political observers see this election as a test of whether ideological loyalty and leaders’ images can outweigh economic realities; both urban and rural voters worried about the impact of unemployment
Prior to the Maharashtra Assembly election, a noticeable split has surfaced regarding the primary concerns of voters.
The contrast in priorities between rural and urban areas highlights a key conflict within the State’s political landscape, compelling both the ruling Mahayuti coalition and the Opposition Maha Vikas Aghadi alliance to address diverging needs. The way they navigate this divide could play a crucial role in determining the result of the election.
In the lead-up to the November 20th election, six pivotal concerns are at the forefront of voters’ considerations: the appeal of Mr. Modi, Hindutva ideology, divisive rhetoric, rising prices, job scarcity, and the agricultural turmoil. Moreover, the ruling Mahayuti’s key initiative, the Mukhyamantri Majhi Ladki Bahin Yojana aimed at aiding women financially, has stirred significant controversy. While some question the scheme’s conveniently timed launch before the elections, others commend the support it provides.
PM’s charisma
The implementation of infrastructure projects and economic reforms in these areas symbolizes stability and progress under his leadership.
Political analyst Professor Surendra Jondhale observes that the emphasis of middle-class and upper-middle-class voters in urban areas seems to be on Narendra Modi’s personality rather than on concerns like inflation, primarily due to the forceful campaigning by the ruling Mahayuti party. According to Jondhale, there exists a noticeable disparity in how rural and urban voters perceive the intense election propaganda propagated by Mahayuti leaders.
In regions such as Marathwada, Konkan, and parts of north Maharashtra, Mr. Shinde’s popularity is also proving influential, particularly in areas where the BJP struggles to gain traction due to issues like Maratha reservation.
Unsustainable farming
In rural areas, particularly among farmers and agricultural workers, there exists a more urgent focus on economic issues.
Rising inflation and the inclusion of fertilizers in GST have worsened farmers’ struggles. Karunakar Lihitka, a farmer in Yavatmal, highlights the growing financial pressure, stating that cotton and soybean prices must rise to ₹10,000 and ₹7,000 per quintal, respectively, for farming to remain sustainable.
Critics say rural voters will prioritize inflation in the upcoming election, with opposition parties blaming BJP for being “anti-farmer.” Congress leader Vijay Wadettiwar stressed the need for fair prices, GST relief, and policies to support farmers amid rising inflation.
Job scarcity
In both rural and urban settings, unemployment poses a significant challenge, albeit with varying repercussions. Urban areas, in particular, witness a sense of frustration among many young individuals due to the scarcity of employment opportunities.
His friend Dhanraj Jadav, who left job hunting for farming, also struggles with minimal income.
Ideology vs economy
In the realm of contentious topics, hate speech and the Hindutva narrative stand out, stirring concerns among voters due to their polarizing impact. Particularly in rural regions, there’s apprehension that such discourse could jeopardize the cohesion among assorted communities. While we usually advise against taking politicians’ words to heart, it’s hard to ignore the divisive rhetoric prevalent during elections.
Political analysts say the upcoming election will reveal whether ideological loyalty or economic issues matter more to voters. Deshpande called it a fascinating and uncertain contest.
